Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 15.091672 17.059329 19.254851 21.898885 25.013383 28.585893 33.023243
2025-09-28 12.101214 14.532666 17.463113 21.297742 26.246758 32.507677 41.172612
2025-10-05 11.703525 14.723172 18.587619 23.992715 31.516703 41.868811 57.648388
2025-10-12 10.802163 14.066972 18.438225 24.874142 34.384970 48.395640 71.561741
2025-10-19 9.609747 12.838687 17.310400 24.156470 34.754000 51.235863 80.361977
2025-10-26 9.076996 12.441592 17.262571 24.944574 37.425497 57.990349 97.072697
2025-11-02 8.342328 11.666364 16.558901 24.608453 38.211231 61.723953 109.261065
2025-11-09 7.693749 10.950191 15.858073 24.166648 38.715572 64.996151 121.315767
2025-11-16 7.169617 10.371743 15.305345 23.884888 39.426572 68.724386 135.238736
2025-11-23 6.632856 9.727304 14.584495 23.226640 39.345947 70.887908 146.281935
2025-11-30 6.258102 9.307544 14.186873 23.077811 40.179531 75.004856 163.055778
2025-12-07 5.760181 8.653330 13.346710 22.047338 39.163006 75.058545 169.734230
2025-12-14 5.271050 7.996750 12.478736 20.930342 37.933030 74.667498 175.849474
2025-12-21 4.919508 7.545986 11.930962 20.360609 37.758439 76.658874 189.408103
2025-12-28 5.090818 7.981963 12.958197 22.905930 44.546072 96.543269 264.804603
2026-01-04 4.984719 7.931333 13.108344 23.737453 47.719789 108.365538 321.183665
2026-01-11 4.681375 7.513744 12.551171 23.060441 47.302528 110.561045 344.181383
2026-01-18 4.586823 7.460470 12.667935 23.803880 50.394145 123.321901 415.965871
2026-01-25 4.368571 7.169258 12.309085 23.486851 50.818463 128.431705 458.986242
2026-02-01 4.155472 6.874764 11.922668 23.070044 50.928515 132.637264 500.891323
2026-02-08 3.975133 6.630454 11.617363 22.804170 51.397762 138.143082 553.436875
2026-02-15 3.769023 6.326785 11.174285 22.182855 50.825397 140.092987 589.012190
2026-02-22 3.627406 6.137289 10.948051 22.042342 51.561090 146.771159 657.200302